I read the plan of US President Donald Trump presented last week to Arab and Muslim leaders to end the Israeli aggression on the Gaza Strip, according to what was published by The Times of Israel. These are preliminary quick comments, noting that each of the 21 points in the plan requires a detailed and lengthy article and discussion.
First observation: Most of the plan’s points are general and vague, allowing Israel to evade all commitments and resume aggression, while what is required from it is vague and uncontrolled.
Second observation: While the plan stipulates the return of all prisoners 48 hours after Israel accepts the plan, it does not clearly and specifically mention Israel’s withdrawal from Gaza but talks about a gradual withdrawal without a defined timetable.
Third observation: This is essential and talks about granting amnesty to Hamas members committed to peaceful coexistence and providing a safe passage for those wishing to leave, but there are no details on the mechanism if implemented and what happens if Israel assassinates some of these under the pretext that they participated in the “Al-Aqsa Flood” or resisted Israeli aggression?!
Fourth observation: It concerns the absence of explicit mention of UNRWA in aid distribution and whether it will be classified as linked to Hamas.
Fifth observation: The most dangerous from my point of view, as it refers to a transitional government of Palestinian technocrats managing Gaza, which is logical and present in the original Egyptian plan, but the new thing in this point is the existence of an international body established by the US in consultation with Arab and European partners to supervise this body. The plan here is effectively a US occupation under British cover through Tony Blair while Arab countries bear the financial burden. The plan does not mention a specific transitional period for the continuation of this body and US supervision.
Sixth observation: Point ten talks about setting an economic plan to rebuild Gaza, while there is an Egyptian plan that has become Arab and Islamic and gained the support of most countries worldwide.
Seventh observation: Very positive, explicitly stating no one will be forced to leave Gaza, meaning the idea and plan of displacement are dropped, but within this point there is a big “yes” to allowing those who choose to leave and a commitment to return if they wish, which is vague given that Israel destroyed most of the Strip making it uninhabitable for many years.
Eighth observation: Point 13 states there will be no role for Hamas and a commitment to destroy and stop building any offensive military infrastructure including tunnels. The catch here is how this point will be implemented, and what if Hamas refuses?! There is an answer to this question in point 17 which says if Hamas refuses or delays response, the plan will be applied in areas free of fighting which the Israeli army will hand over to the international stabilization force.
Ninth observation: Found in point 15, it indicates the US will work to establish a temporary international stabilization force deployed in Gaza to oversee security. This is an important and dangerous point as it practically means the US has occupied or effectively controlled the Strip, which is the core of what Trump demanded, but without forcing Palestinians into forced migration.
Tenth observation: Very positive in point 16, indicating Israel will not occupy or annex Gaza, and the Israeli army will gradually hand over occupied lands. This point is very important and disrupts the Israeli plan, but only if applied correctly and comprehensively without circumventing it in unclear clauses.
Eleventh observation: Israel agrees not to launch future attacks on Qatar, which is a very strange point, and I do not know its relation to the plan, noting that Hamas’s office in Doha was established at the US request. The question here: Does this mean Israel will stop pursuing remaining Hamas leaders if they stay in Doha, and what if they move to other places?!
Twelfth observation: Funny and comical, it talks about establishing a process to de-radicalize the population and interfaith dialogue to change mentalities and narratives in Israel and Gaza. I do not know how coexistence between the oppressor and the victim can happen without ending the occupation?! The core issue is the occupation first and foremost, and coexistence cannot be discussed before addressing the root cause of the problem.
Thirteenth observation: When the process of Gaza’s redevelopment makes progress and the Palestinian Authority reform program is implemented, conditions “may” be prepared for a reliable path towards a Palestinian state.
The important note here is that the idea of the state is conditional on two conditions that can be disabled and sabotaged by Israel at any time. Gaza’s reconstruction may not be completed for any reason, and Israel and the US may say the reform program was not implemented. Even if theoretically done, the clause talks about a mere possibility using the word “may”. This is repeated in the last point 21 which says the US will establish a dialogue between Israel and the Palestinians to agree on a political horizon for peaceful coexistence.
In summary, the quick reading of Trump’s plan, which Israel and Hamas have not yet commented on in detail, is very general and vague. Its relative advantage is that it stops aggression and displacement and includes a gradual Israeli withdrawal, but it turns Gaza into a protectorate under American supervision, British administration, and Arab forces and funds.
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